Books by Dan Gardner
“This book is exceptionally interesting. Bent Flyvbjerg is an Oxford-based Danish academic. He is the main writer and it’s mainly based on his work, with Dan Gardner as co-author. Flyvbjerg’s work is to look at megaprojects and he poses a law of megaprojects: that they generally go over budget and over time and why this is bad.” Read more...
The Best Business Books of 2023: the Financial Times Business Book of the Year Award
Andrew Hill, Journalist
“Tetlock, who is a Canadian American political scientist, conducted a lot of experiments to try and understand what makes people become better at making predictions…What he found is that in a whole range of topics, those he called ‘superforecasters’ tend to be, on average, much better at predicting events than the topic experts that he compared them with. When we listen to the radio or watch TV, we often see these pundits who seem to have extremely strong views about something: for example, they claim with absolute certainty what’s going to happen in the war in Ukraine, or swear that a given politician is going to get elected in the next cycle. And because these people have a very assertive and confident way of telling us these things, we tend to believe them. Tetlock went to the effort of logging all the predictions made by these people, and he found that they were no better than random.” Read more...
Interviews where books by Dan Gardner were recommended
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1
Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About The World — And Why Things Are Better Than You Think
by Hans Rosling -
2
The Signal and the Noise
by Nate Silver -
3
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
by Dan Gardner & Philip E Tetlock -
4
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
by Annie Duke -
5
Hello World: How to Be Human in the Age of the Machine
by Hannah Fry
The best books on Using Data to Understand the World, recommended by Edouard Mathieu
The best books on Using Data to Understand the World, recommended by Edouard Mathieu
Even as more and more data becomes available, many of us have a view of the world that doesn’t correspond to reality. On probabilities in particular, people tend to be completely clueless. Here Edouard Mathieu, Head of Data at Oxford-based research group Our World in Data, recommends books to help readers not only use data to better understand the world, but also make better decisions in daily life.
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1
Moral Capital
by Christopher Leslie Brown -
2
The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't
by Julia Galef -
3
The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity
by Toby Ord -
4
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
by Dan Gardner & Philip E Tetlock -
5
The Life You Can Save
by Peter Singer
The best books on Longtermism, recommended by Will MacAskill
The best books on Longtermism, recommended by Will MacAskill
There is so much suffering in today’s world it’s hard to focus attention on future generations, but that’s exactly what we should be doing, says Will MacAskill, a leader of the effective altruism movement. Here, he introduces books that contributed to his thinking about the long-term future and the “silent billions” who are not yet able to speak for themselves.
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1
Material World: The Six Raw Materials That Shape Modern Civilization
by Ed Conway -
2
Right Kind of Wrong: Why Learning to Fail Can Teach Us to Thrive
by Amy Edmondson -
3
How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between
by Bent Flyvbjerg & Dan Gardner -
4
Elon Musk
by Walter Isaacson -
5
Cobalt Red: How the Blood of the Congo Powers Our Lives
by Siddharth Kara -
6
The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
by Michael Bhaskar & Mustafa Suleyman
The Best Business Books of 2023: the Financial Times Business Book of the Year Award, recommended by Andrew Hill
The Best Business Books of 2023: the Financial Times Business Book of the Year Award, recommended by Andrew Hill
If you like nonfiction books that will get you up to speed with what’s going on in the world, the Financial Times annual book prize is a great place to start. If you run a business, one or two useful books also feature. Andrew Hill, the newspaper’s senior business writer, talks us through the books that made the 2023 shortlist, from cobalt extraction in the Congo to how to manage the AI genie that’s out of the bottle and coming towards us at speed.
